TOP 10 PROBABILISTIC ARGUMENT EXAMPLES - CULTURE VOCABULARY - 2025

The probabilistic argument examples are based on the issuance of an opinion based on the possibility of some fact or event occurring.

Probabilistic arguments are expressed in two ways. Mainly the quantitative form is found, this is expressed in numbers between 0 and 10 or from 0% to 100%.

Statistically, for an event or fact to be reliable, the result must be greater than 0.51, which is equivalent to 51%.

On the other hand, the answer is expressed qualitatively when the result is affirmative or negative.

It is important to note that the probabilistic argument is a mathematical concept that is commonly linked to the laws of chance.

Top 10 Probabilistic Argument Examples

1- In the television industry

An expert in the field of television could say, for example, that there is a high probability that the next year the Emmy for best comedy will be won by the Modern Family series.

This is because the trend in the last five years has been for this series to win this accolade.

2- Chance

If a coin is tossed there is a 50% chance that it will come up heads and a 50% chance that it will be tails.

This is because the coin only has two sides and when falling there are only two options.

3- In lotteries with tickets

If a 100-number raffle ticket is purchased, the probability of being the winner is 1 in 100.

This is because 99 tickets remain free, which are possible winners. In other words, to be 100% sure of being a winner, all tickets must be purchased.

4- In the letters

The chance of taking the ace of spades in the first hand of a game is 1 in 52. This result is due to the fact that the deck of poker cards has 52 cards, including the ace of spades.

In the game of poker, the best players study the probability of each hand drawn for them.

5- Chance with the dice

The existing probability of rolling a die and that it lands on the number six is ​​1 out of 6. This is because the die has six faces, and each has a number from 1 to 6.

6- Random extraction of oranges and lemons

If there are 20 oranges and 10 lemons in a basket, there is a 66.7% chance that the first fruit drawn from the basket will be an orange.

This is because it is the majority. The other 33.3% is associated with lemons, which are in the minority.

7- Probability in the biological sciences

If two peas are crossed, one with smooth genes (such as dominant) and one with corrugated genes (such as recessive or non-dominant), there is a possibility that the results of the cross between these two peas will be 75% smooth and 25% corrugated.

This conclusion is due to Mendel's second law, the law of the segregation of characters in the second filial generation, which states that gametes can only contain one gene, and in this case the smooth gene was dominant.

8- Law of life

The existing probability that a person will die one day is 100%. This 100% certainty is because all people die some day.

9- Digital Marketing

There is an 88% chance that a Google user will never use the second search page, since the best content is found on the first page.

10- Population probability

According to surveys, in Italy 96% of the population prefers to eat pasta. This is because it is one of the most outstanding foods in the country and that there are many varieties to satisfy different palates.

References

1. Association for the History of Statistics and Probability of Spain, JS (2006). History of probability and statistics (III). Madrid: Delta Publications.
2. Mukhopadhyay, N. (2000). Probability and Statistical Inference. New York: CRC Press.
3. Nett, R. (1980). Social research methodology. Texas: Threshing.
4. Steiner, E. (2005). Mathematics for applied sciences. Madrid: Reverte.
5. William Mendenhall, RJ (2012). Introduction to Probability and Statistics. Boston: Cengage Learning.